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“It becomes less about how many developers you employ and much more about how creative you are and how well you understand the player,” Curwen says.

For an industry already producing content at enormous scale, that distinction is important. The promise of Game in a Box and Studio in a Box is not simply that they can help put even more games into an already crowded market.

Instead, Curwen hopes that by removing some of the cost and risk that have traditionally surrounded development, creators will have greater freedom to take chances on what they produce.

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In a statement, Genuis Sports said Prediction.com sought to address the “fragmentation” caused by users visiting platforms separately to access pricing information.

“As the category continues to grow, robust integrity safeguards are not simply optional; they are foundational,” Sean Conroy, EVP of rights and partnerships at Genius Sports, said of the launch.

“By bringing together official data, live streaming, league IP, integrity services and the reach of our Legend media network, we are helping Polymarket deliver a differentiated and trusted experience for sports fans across the US.” 

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In another encouraging non-sports sign, one of those operators notched just $2 million in commodities volume last year, but that figure surpassed $410 million in August alone and is approaching $600 million on a year-to-date basis.

Bernstein estimates the global market for financial contracts will grow to $900 trillion by 2035, up from $700 trillion last year, and if prediction markets capture just 0.5% of that total, volume would increase by $4.7 trillion per year.

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